The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League Round of 16 between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich will take place on March 11 at the BayArena in Leverkusen. The score of the first match was 3-0 in favor of Bayern. Bayer vs. Bayern: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Bayer Leverkusen
In the first leg, Leverkusen ended a six-match unbeaten run against Bayern in official matches, suffering a heavy 0-3 defeat. To advance to the quarter-finals, Bayer now needs to win by at least four goals in regular time. Under Xabi Alonso, the team has already secured two such victories in the current tournament. Additionally, the club's four-match scoring streak in the Champions League was also broken in the last game.
- At least one opponent has failed to score in 8 of Bayer's last 10 Champions League matches.
- Bayer has not lost at home in this tournament for five games (4 wins, 1 draw).
- The team has kept a clean sheet in their last five home matches in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Bayer (4-3-3)
Matej Kovar – Alejandro Grimaldo, Arthur, Jonathan Tah, Mario Hermoso – Exequiel Palacios, Jeremie Frimpong, Aleix Garcia – Nathan Tella, Amine Adli, Patrik Schick.
Defender Nordi Mukiele will miss the match due to suspension. Midfielder Florian Wirtz is out for several weeks due to injury. Forward Jonas Hofmann is injured.
Bayern Munich
Munich secured a comfortable advantage ahead of the second leg. Vincent Kompany's side can afford to lose by two goals in the upcoming match. Bayern has lost three times in this tournament, twice by a three-goal margin. A repeat of such a result would lead to extra time. Notably, the team has kept a clean sheet only once in their last six Champions League games.
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of Bayern's last 6 Champions League matches.
- The club has not won in 6 of their last 8 away games in this tournament (1 draw, 5 losses).
- Bayern has conceded in 8 consecutive away matches in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Bayern (4-5-1)
Jonas Urbig – Raphael Guerreiro, Dayot Upamecano, Kim Min-jae, Konrad Laimer – Kingsley Coman, Michael Olise, Leon Goretzka, Jamal Musiala, Joshua Kimmich – Harry Kane.
Goalkeeper Manuel Neuer is injured. Midfielder Alexander Pavlovich is unavailable due to illness.
Referee
Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 36;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 10%.
Match Prediction: Bayer vs. Bayern
Vincent Kompany has learned from the unsuccessful encounter with Leverkusen in the league. In the previous game, Bayern dominated statistically and deservedly won. However, Bayer had a significant advantage over their opponent at home a month ago. The home advantage should help Xabi Alonso's side, if not overturn the tie, then at least finish their Champions League season on a high note.
Leverkusen has not lost at home in the Champions League for five matches, securing four victories. Additionally, Bayer has not lost to Bayern at home in their last three Bundesliga meetings. Munich is currently not a formidable force on the road: the team has not won in 6 of their last 8 away matches in the Champions League (1 draw, 5 losses).
Xabi Alonso's side has no choice but to attack, and they regularly score at home in the Champions League: Bayer has scored in 9 of their last 12 matches. Bayern, meanwhile, does not have a reliable defense and has conceded in 8 consecutive away games in this tournament. However, Bayer's exposed defense will likely provide Munich with opportunities to respond, so I expect at least two goals in the upcoming match.
My prediction: Bayer will not lose and Total over 1.5 goals
